Graham Allison on U.S.-Iran relations in the Persian Gulf

Will Iran make good on its threat against US?
January 3, 2012
Interview with: Graham Allison, Belfer Center director
Topic: U.S.-Iran relations in the Persian Gulf

“Iran has threatened to take military action if the U.S. keeps sending aircraft carriers into the Gulf. What is the probability Iran would make good on its threat?

ALLISON: Low. Iran must be aware that the U.S. will continue to send aircraft carriers into international waters regardless of Iranian threats, and that any direct military confrontation would not end well for Tehran. However, we face the risk of unauthorized or low-level skirmishes between U.S. and Iranian naval forces escalating into a broader conflict.”

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